Thursday, October 25, 2007

Iran is not dangerous yet

“If the U.S. invades Iran, Iran will see that they have no chance of winning and will use nuclear weapons,” says David Ochmanek, Director of Project AIR FORCE Strategy and Doctrine Program. Attacking Iran will lead to another war, and possibly the extinction of human life in several parts of the world. Iran is seen as a threat because they are exploring the development of Uranium deposits that can eventually produce nuclear weapons.
Unfortunately, the act of going into a country forcefully and finding nuclear weapons has been a failure for the United States. Need I remind you of the Iraqi War? The United States went into Iraq to take out nuclear weapons which didn’t even exist. Ever since then, the U.S. has been under stiff scrutiny and in which people see the United States war in Iraq as a failure. The problem with the United States going into Iran and attacking them is the U.S. knows Iran doesn’t have nukes yet. Attacking a country to prevent them from proliferation (make and selling of nuclear weapons) is not acceptable. Vice President Dick Chaney says, “The United States and other nations will not allow Iran to obtain a nuclear weapon.” I agree that Iran should not be allowed to proliferate because it would be a violation of the NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty); however, the United States has mistakenly failed in another country in the Middle-East and doing so again will ruin the reputation and superiority of the United States.
“The only reason Iran is arming itself is out of a security threat. A perception that America is no longer a security risk would remove the nuclear threat,” says Scott Sagan, Professor of political science and director of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University. By simply telling Iran we will not strike them and will defend against any other country that might attack them is a sure way to make Iran know there is no need for them to proliferate. However, it does not help that the United States is sending a message to Iran that the U.S. and other countries will attack if they continue the route to proliferation. Vice President Cheney says, “If Iran continues on its current course, the U.S. and other nations are ‘prepared to impose serious consequences.’”
I propose that the United States guarantee the safety of Iran and their people by offering a security guarantee. The guarantee will provide Iran with the knowledge that they will no longer need to feel threatened by the United States and therefore will not need to proliferate. The biggest concern should be trying to avoid another costly and deadly war. Is attacking Iran going to be worth it?

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